Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
ESAP Metz — Marnaval
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Marnaval to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Marnaval are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Marnaval are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ESAP Metz — Marnaval What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| ESAP Metz not to lose | 58% | |
| Marnaval not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap ESAP Metz
- ESAP Metz goals
- Marnaval goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- ESAP MetzUS Reipertswiller14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →