Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
FC Dallas — Colorado Rapids
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
FC Dallas are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Dallas are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- FC Dallas are 192 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Dallas — No. 6, 55 pts; Colorado Rapids — No. 17, 43 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Dallas 2 wins, Colorado Rapids 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Dallas — Colorado Rapids What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| FC Dallas not to lose | 74% | |
| Colorado Rapids not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Handicap FC Dallas
- FC Dallas goals
- Colorado Rapids goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Dallas | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.68 | 1.43 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| Shots | 13.1 | 13.7 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 57 |
Form
- 31.10away · Sporting Kansas City1:1
- 29.10Columbus Crew0:2
- 25.10San Jose Earthquakes3:0
- 18.10away · Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 15.10Seattle Sounders FC1:0
- 01.11Chicago Fire FC2:4
- 29.10away · San Jose Earthquakes2:2
- 25.10Vancouver Whitecaps1:0
- 18.10away · Portland Timbers0:0
- 15.10Minnesota United2:2
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Colorado Rapids — FC Dallas1:2
- 21.09.2025FC Dallas — Colorado Rapids3:1
- 02.03.2025Colorado Rapids — FC Dallas3:3
- 01.09.2024FC Dallas — Colorado Rapids2:3
- 21.04.2024Colorado Rapids — FC Dallas2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 33 | 16 | +11 | 55 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | +9 | 55 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 33 | 15 | +15 | 53 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | -1 | 43 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | -1 | 43 |
| 18 | Seattle Sounders FC | 33 | 11 | -3 | 43 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →