Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
FR Saint Marcel — AF Virois
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, AF Virois to win (46%), came true.
AF Virois are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AF Virois are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FR Saint Marcel — AF Virois What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| FR Saint Marcel not to lose | 54% | |
| AF Virois not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap FR Saint Marcel
- FR Saint Marcel goals
- AF Virois goals
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Form
- 29.10away · Avranches0:0
- 07.01Nantes0:2
- 21.12Caen3:0
- 30.10away · Havre Caucriauville4:0
- 16.10away · Olympique de Cleon7:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- St OmerAF Virois14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →