Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Houston Dynamo FC — St. Louis City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Houston Dynamo FC 34%, St. Louis City 36%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Houston Dynamo FC are 51 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Houston Dynamo FC — No. 10, 51 pts; St. Louis City — No. 9, 51 pts.
- St. Louis City: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Houston Dynamo FC 2 wins, St. Louis City 2, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Houston Dynamo FC 6, St. Louis City 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Houston Dynamo FC — St. Louis City What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| Houston Dynamo FC not to lose | 64% | |
| St. Louis City not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Houston Dynamo FC
- Houston Dynamo FC goals
- St. Louis City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Houston Dynamo FC | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.00 | 1.28 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.05 | 1.27 |
| Shots | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 52 |
Form
- 02.11away · Portland Timbers1:3
- 29.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:0
- 25.10Minnesota United0:0
- 18.10FC Dallas2:2
- 15.10away · San Diego FC3:3
- 31.10San Diego FC0:1
- 29.10Portland Timbers2:3
- 25.10away · Real Salt Lake0:3
- 22.10away · Columbus Crew0:0
- 17.10away · Minnesota United2:3
Head to head
- 23.08.2026St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo FC2:1
- 20.05.2026St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 31.08.2025St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo FC2:3
- 29.06.2025Houston Dynamo FC — St. Louis City1:0
- 06.10.2024St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo FC3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | +8 | 52 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | +10 | 51 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 33 | 14 | +1 | 51 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | +13 | 47 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →