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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Landerneau — Lannion

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Model prediction and result

1:4Came true
Landerneau32%
Draw27%
Lannion42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Lannion to win (42%), came true.

Lannion are slightly stronger: 42% against 32%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Landerneau — Lannion What is xG?1.3–1.5
Landerneau not to lose58%
Lannion not to lose68%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Landerneau
  • Landerneau goals
  • Lannion goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Landerneau

No past matches in the data yet.

Lannion

  • 08.01Toulouse1:7
  • 20.11away · JSC Bellevue Nantes0:0
  • 29.10away · Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant1:1
  • 16.10away · J. Unie Plougonven6:0
  • 14.11away · Perros Louannec1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • LannionGuingamp14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →