Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Real Salt Lake — LA Galaxy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Real Salt Lake are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Salt Lake are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Real Salt Lake are 66 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Real Salt Lake — No. 20, 42 pts; LA Galaxy — No. 15, 44 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- LA Galaxy: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Real Salt Lake 1 win, LA Galaxy 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Salt Lake — LA Galaxy What is xG? | 2.1–1.3 | |
| Real Salt Lake not to lose | 80% | |
| LA Galaxy not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Salt Lake
- Real Salt Lake goals
- LA Galaxy goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Real Salt Lake | LA Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| xG per match | 1.60 | 1.65 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.14 | 2.05 |
| Shots | 15.0 | 13.6 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.0 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 46 |
Form
- 01.11away · San Jose Earthquakes1:2
- 29.10away · Austin FC2:1
- 25.10St. Louis City3:0
- 18.10away · Sporting Kansas City3:1
- 15.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
- 01.11Austin FC4:1
- 26.10away · Los Angeles FC2:2
- 18.10San Diego FC2:2
- 15.10Portland Timbers2:0
- 12.10away · St. Louis City2:6
Head to head
- 27.04.2026LA Galaxy — Real Salt Lake2:1
- 01.06.2025LA Galaxy — Real Salt Lake2:0
- 05.04.2025Real Salt Lake — LA Galaxy2:0
- 23.06.2024Real Salt Lake — LA Galaxy0:1
- 12.05.2024LA Galaxy — Real Salt Lake2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | +6 | 44 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | LA Galaxy | 33 | 11 | -6 | 44 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | -1 | 43 |
| 19, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Orlando City | 33 | 12 | -16 | 43 |
| 20 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 0 | 42 |
| 21 | Minnesota United | 33 | 10 | -4 | 41 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →