Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
San Diego FC — Sporting Kansas City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
San Diego FC are clear favourites: 68% against 13% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings San Diego FC are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- San Diego FC are 238 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: San Diego FC — No. 25, 38 pts; Sporting Kansas City — No. 30, 23 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Sporting Kansas City: winless in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: San Diego FC 2 wins, Sporting Kansas City 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Diego FC — Sporting Kansas City What is xG? | 2.5–1.1 | |
| San Diego FC not to lose | 87% | |
| Sporting Kansas City not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap San Diego FC
- San Diego FC goals
- Sporting Kansas City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | San Diego FC | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| xG per match | 1.91 | 1.38 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 13.1 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 58 | 48 |
Form
- 31.10away · St. Louis City1:0
- 29.10away · Vancouver Whitecaps1:4
- 25.10Seattle Sounders FC2:2
- 18.10away · LA Galaxy2:2
- 15.10Houston Dynamo FC3:3
- 31.10FC Dallas1:1
- 29.10away · Minnesota United1:3
- 25.10Austin FC1:2
- 18.10Real Salt Lake1:3
- 15.10away · Nashville SC0:4
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Sporting Kansas City — San Diego FC0:1
- 10.08.2025Sporting Kansas City — San Diego FC0:2
- 18.05.2025San Diego FC — Sporting Kansas City0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Red Bull New York | 33 | 11 | -17 | 39 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 33 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 33 | 8 | -21 | 34 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 33 | 6 | -30 | 26 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | -42 | 23 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →