Seattle Sounders FC — Los Angeles FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Seattle Sounders FC are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Seattle Sounders FC — No. 18, 43 pts; Los Angeles FC — No. 11, 47 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Seattle Sounders FC: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Seattle Sounders FC 2 wins, Los Angeles FC 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC — Los Angeles FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 71% | |
| Los Angeles FC not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC goals
- Los Angeles FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Seattle Sounders FC | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.52 | 1.70 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.39 | 1.25 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 16.0 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.9 |
| Cards | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 46 |
Form
- 01.11away · Vancouver Whitecaps1:5
- 29.10Houston Dynamo FC0:1
- 25.10away · San Diego FC2:2
- 18.10CF Montréal1:1
- 15.10away · FC Dallas0:1
- 02.11Minnesota United1:3
- 26.10LA Galaxy2:2
- 18.10away · New York City FC1:1
- 15.10Austin FC3:1
- 11.10Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
Head to head
- 25.05.2026Los Angeles FC — Seattle Sounders FC1:0
- 15.05.2025Los Angeles FC — Seattle Sounders FC4:0
- 09.03.2025Seattle Sounders FC — Los Angeles FC5:2
- 24.11.2024Los Angeles FC — Seattle Sounders FC1:2
- 29.08.2024Seattle Sounders FC — Los Angeles FC0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 33 | 14 | +1 | 51 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | +13 | 47 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | +11 | 47 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | -1 | 43 |
| 18 | Seattle Sounders FC | 33 | 11 | -3 | 43 |
| 19, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Orlando City | 33 | 12 | -16 | 43 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →