Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
US Changé — La Roche VF
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, La Roche VF to win (49%), came true.
La Roche VF are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings La Roche VF are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- La Roche VF are 64 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Changé — La Roche VF What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| US Changé not to lose | 51% | |
| La Roche VF not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap US Changé
- US Changé goals
- La Roche VF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 26.10Le Mans2:4
- 07.02Les Herbiers0:1
- 31.01away · US Bequots-Lucquois1:1
- 27.10away · Murs Erignes1:1
- 25.10away · Orvault Sports1:1
- 21.12Brest0:1
- 29.11away · Orléans1:1
- 16.11away · Cazaux Olympique6:0
- 26.10away · La Baule Le Pouliguen3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- US Saint PhilbertLa Roche VF14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →