Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
US Gregorienne 35 — Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Gregorienne 35 — Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| US Gregorienne 35 not to lose | 56% | |
| Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap US Gregorienne 35
- US Gregorienne 35 goals
- Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.12SC Bastia0:1
- 30.11away · Espoir Ste Luce4:0
- 15.11away · Challans2:0
- 26.10away · Saint Pierre Milizac2:2
- 09.12Rouen0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TA14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →