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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Valdahon Vercel — CA Pontarlier

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Model prediction and result

0:1Came true
Valdahon Vercel29%
Draw26%
CA Pontarlier44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, CA Pontarlier to win (44%), came true.

CA Pontarlier are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings CA Pontarlier are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Valdahon Vercel — CA Pontarlier What is xG?1.2–1.6
Valdahon Vercel not to lose56%
CA Pontarlier not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Valdahon Vercel
  • Valdahon Vercel goals
  • CA Pontarlier goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Valdahon Vercel

  • 17.11Jura Sud0:4
  • 27.10away · US Coulanges2:1
  • 31.01CA Pontarlier0:2

CA Pontarlier

  • 15.11Sochaux2:2
  • 25.10FC Sens8:0
  • 07.01Lyon0:3
  • 09.12away · Sarre-Union0:0
  • 18.11away · Colmar1:0

Head to head

  • 31.01.2021Valdahon Vercel — CA Pontarlier0:2

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →