Primera Nacional, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio 20 de Octubre
Tristán Suárez — Deportivo Maipú
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0:0Missed
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Tristán Suárez to win (57%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.
Tristán Suárez are clear favourites: 57% against 14% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tristán Suárez are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Tristán Suárez are 165 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Tristán Suárez: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Tristán Suárez 1 win, Deportivo Maipú 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tristán Suárez — Deportivo Maipú What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Tristán Suárez not to lose | 86% | |
| Deportivo Maipú not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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Match events
- 35′Manuel Guillén · Tristán Suárez
- 69′Renzo Conechny · Tristán Suárez
Substitutions (10)
- 46′Diego Mastrángelo ↔ Nicolás Sánchez · Tristán Suárez
- 69′Juan De la Reta ↔ Nicolás Fernández · Deportivo Maipú
- 69′Lisandro Cabrera ↔ Juan Giacone · Deportivo Maipú
- 69′Maximiliano Álvarez ↔ Renzo Conechny · Tristán Suárez
- 69′Augusto Berrondo ↔ Diego Becker · Tristán Suárez
- 74′Tomás Silva ↔ Matías Viguet · Deportivo Maipú
- 88′Juan Gobetto ↔ Brian Orosco · Deportivo Maipú
- 88′Mateo Ortale ↔ Lucas Faggioli · Deportivo Maipú
- 88′Alejandro Molina ↔ Marcos Enrique · Tristán Suárez
- 88′Matías Olguín ↔ Manuel Guillén · Tristán Suárez
Lineups
Tristán Suárez
- GKJoaquín Bigo
- DFAgustín Baldi
- DFBrian Aguilar
- DFManuel Guillén88′
- DFMauricio Guzmán
- DFNicolás Fernández
- MFNicolás Del Priore
- MFNicolás Sánchez46′
- MFMarcos Enrique88′
- MFDiego Becker69′
- FWRenzo Conechny69′
Came on (5)
- DFDiego Mastrángelo44′
- MFAlejandro Molina2′
- DFMatías Olguín2′
- FWAugusto Berrondo21′
- FWMaximiliano Álvarez21′
Deportivo Maipú
- GKNahuel Galardi
- DFLucas Faggioli88′
- DFNicolás Fernández69′
- DFArón Agüero
- DFSantiago Paulini
- MFEnzo Pérez
- MFMirko Bonfigli
- MFBrian Orosco88′
- FWJuan Giacone69′
- FWFranco Saccone
- FWMatías Viguet74′
Came on (5)
- FWLisandro Cabrera21′
- DFMateo Ortale2′
- MFJuan Gobetto2′
- FWTomás Silva16′
- DFJuan De la Reta21′
Form
- 24.10away · Almagro1:1
- 17.10Patronato de Parana1:0
- 10.10away · Colegiales0:0
- 03.10Quilmes0:0
- 27.09away · CA Ferrocarril Midland1:0
- 25.10Atlético Güemes3:1
- 17.10away · Chacarita Juniors0:1
- 11.10San Martín San Juan1:1
- 05.10away · Nueva Chicago1:0
- 27.09Temperley1:0
Head to head
- 14.06.2026Deportivo Maipú — Tristán Suárez0:1
- 09.08.2025Deportivo Maipú — Tristán Suárez1:0
- 06.04.2025Tristán Suárez — Deportivo Maipú1:1
- 11.08.2024Tristán Suárez — Deportivo Maipú1:2
- 23.03.2024Deportivo Maipú — Tristán Suárez1:0
Next matches
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárez15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Maipú15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 363331XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:0.2.5
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →