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Brazilian Serie B, round 38 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Atlético-GO — Cuiabá

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Model prediction for 14 November

Atlético-GO48%
Draw30%
Cuiabá22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Atlético-GO are clear favourites: 48% against 22% for the opponent, draw 30%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Atlético-GO are 154 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Atlético-GO — No. 7, 55 pts; Cuiabá — No. 13, 47 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Atlético-GO: winless in 5; Cuiabá: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Atlético-GO 1 win, Cuiabá 0, 4 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Atlético-GO — Cuiabá What is xG?1.4–0.9
Atlético-GO not to lose78%
Cuiabá not to lose52%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Atlético-GO
  • Atlético-GO goals
  • Cuiabá goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAtlético-GOCuiabá
Goals scored per match1.21.0
Goals conceded per match0.80.9
xG per match1.321.62
Opponents’ xG1.331.09
Shots20.117.6
On target4.64.8
Corners8.37.3
Cards2.11.7
Possession, %5455

Averages per match: Atlético-GO — the last 10, Cuiabá — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Atlético-GO

  • 02.11away · Fortaleza0:0
  • 24.10Novorizontino0:1
  • 17.10away · Ponte Preta1:1
  • 11.10Sport Recife1:1
  • 08.10away · CRB1:3

Cuiabá

  • 02.11São Bernardo1:2
  • 27.10away · América-MG0:1
  • 21.10away · Londrina0:1
  • 12.10Avaí0:1
  • 08.10away · Vila Nova0:0

Head to head

  • 24.07.2026Cuiabá — Atlético-GO0:1
  • 25.08.2025Cuiabá — Atlético-GO2:2
  • 23.04.2025Atlético-GO — Cuiabá1:1
  • 19.10.2024Atlético-GO — Cuiabá0:0
  • 23.06.2024Cuiabá — Atlético-GO0:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Promotion play-offsSport Recife361413948–39+955
7Atlético-GO361413942–33+955
8CRB361671354–51+355
12Botafogo SP361391441–39+248
13Cuiabá3611141133–30+347
14Athletic Club MG3611141142–41+147

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

  • Ponte PretaOperário-PRpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
  • São BernardoAthletic Club MGpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
  • América-MGAvaípreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
  • LondrinaNáuticopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • FortalezaVila Novapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
  • CriciúmaNovorizontinopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
  • Sport RecifeGoiáspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • CRBCearápreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →