Brazilian Serie B, round 38 · Saturday, 14 November, 22:30 (UTC+3)

CRB — Ceará

Model prediction for 14 November

CRB65%

Draw21%

Ceará14%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CRB are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 21%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

By the strength ratings CRB are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
CRB are 153 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: CRB — No. 8, 55 pts; Ceará — No. 16, 43 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
Ceará: winless in 4.
Last 5 meetings: CRB 3 wins, Ceará 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CRB — Ceará What is xG?		2.0–0.9
CRB not to lose		86%
Ceará not to lose		35%
No draw		79%
Both teams to score: yes		51%
Both teams to score: no		49%
Total over 2.5		52%
Total under 2.5		48%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap CRB
CRB goals
Ceará goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	CRB	Ceará
Goals scored per match	1.5	1.1
Goals conceded per match	1.4	1.3
xG per match	1.86	1.26
Opponents’ xG	1.10	1.31
Shots	24.8	14.7
On target	8.3	4.2
Corners	7.3	4.4
Cards	1.6	2.5
Possession, %	55	49

Averages per match: CRB — the last 10, Ceará — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

CRB

03.11away · Goiás1:2
25.10Londrina2:1
18.10Botafogo SP0:1
12.10away · Fortaleza2:2
08.10Atlético-GO3:1

Ceará

03.11away · Athletic Club MG1:2
28.10Goiás0:2
17.10Juventude2:2
13.10away · Botafogo SP0:1
09.10Criciúma1:0

Head to head

23.07.2026Ceará — CRB0:1
22.08.2024CRB — Ceará0:2
24.05.2024Ceará — CRB0:1
07.05.2024Ceará — CRB2:2
03.05.2024CRB — Ceará1:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7	Atlético-GO	36	14	13	9	42–33	+9	55
8	CRB	36	16	7	13	54–51	+3	55
9	Goiás	36	16	7	13	38–41	-3	55
15	Náutico	36	12	10	14	40–46	-6	46
16	Ceará	36	11	10	15	38–46	-8	43
17, Relegation	Avaí	36	10	7	19	33–46	-13	37

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

22:30
Ponte PretaOperário-PRpreliminary
142363
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
22:30
São BernardoAthletic Club MGpreliminary
422930
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
22:30
América-MGAvaípreliminary
462826
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
22:30
LondrinaNáuticopreliminary
482627
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
22:30
FortalezaVila Novapreliminary
522821
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
22:30
Atlético-GOCuiabápreliminary
483022
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
22:30
CriciúmaNovorizontinopreliminary
453025
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
22:30
Sport RecifeGoiáspreliminary
472626
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →