EFL Championship, round 15 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Blackburn Rovers — West Ham United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
West Ham United are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings West Ham United are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated West Ham United higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Blackburn Rovers — No. 14, 18 pts; West Ham United — No. 8, 22 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Blackburn Rovers 4, West Ham United 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers — West Ham United What is xG? | 1.2–1.8 | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 47% | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Blackburn Rovers goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Blackburn Rovers | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.08 | 2.13 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.76 | 1.35 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 17.1 |
| On target | 4.0 | 6.8 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 6.5 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 55 |
Form
- 03.11Stoke City1:2
- 31.10away · Swansea City0:4
- 24.10Wrexham2:0
- 17.10away · West Bromwich Albion2:3
- 13.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 31.10West Bromwich Albion1:3
- 24.10Southampton2:3
- 17.10away · Swansea City1:0
- 14.10away · Lincoln City6:0
- 09.10Queens Park Rangers1:1
Head to head
- 09.11.2022West Ham United — Blackburn Rovers2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 13 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →