EFL Championship, round 15 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Bristol City — Norwich City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Bristol City 38%, Norwich City 34%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Bristol City — No. 15, 18 pts; Norwich City — No. 12, 18 pts.
- Norwich City: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Bristol City 3 wins, Norwich City 1, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Bristol City 7, Norwich City 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bristol City — Norwich City What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Bristol City not to lose | 66% | |
| Norwich City not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Bristol City | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| xG per match | 1.60 | 1.02 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.01 | 1.50 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 12.4 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10away · Bolton Wanderers3:2
- 24.10away · Stoke City0:0
- 17.10Sheffield United0:1
- 13.10Blackburn Rovers0:1
- 10.10away · Charlton Athletic1:1
- 03.11away · Derby County4:0
- 31.10Watford3:2
- 24.10away · Charlton Athletic3:1
- 17.10Portsmouth0:1
- 14.10Southampton0:1
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Bristol City — Norwich City2:4
- 18.10.2025Norwich City — Bristol City0:1
- 14.03.2025Bristol City — Norwich City2:1
- 09.11.2024Norwich City — Bristol City0:2
- 20.04.2024Norwich City — Bristol City1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 14 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
Championship on the same day
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →