EFL Championship, round 15 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Charlton Athletic — Sheffield United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Sheffield United are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sheffield United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Sheffield United are 69 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Charlton Athletic — No. 21, 14 pts; Sheffield United — No. 9, 22 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Charlton Athletic: 4 defeats in a row; Sheffield United: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Charlton Athletic 2 wins, Sheffield United 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlton Athletic — Sheffield United What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| Charlton Athletic not to lose | 59% | |
| Sheffield United not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Charlton Athletic
- Charlton Athletic goals
- Sheffield United goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Charlton Athletic | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.05 | 1.18 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.56 | 1.11 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 12.4 |
| On target | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 49 |
Form
- 03.11Bolton Wanderers0:1
- 31.10away · Middlesbrough0:3
- 24.10Norwich City1:3
- 17.10away · Watford0:2
- 13.10away · Burnley2:2
- 03.11away · Preston North End3:2
- 30.10Wrexham1:0
- 24.10Derby County1:1
- 17.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 14.10away · Portsmouth2:3
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Charlton Athletic — Sheffield United1:0
- 20.09.2025Sheffield United — Charlton Athletic0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 13 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | -11 | 14 |
| 22, Relegation | Burnley | 14 | 1 | -8 | 10 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →