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EFL Championship, round 15 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Wrexham — Wolverhampton Wanderers

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Model prediction for 7 November

Wrexham32%
Draw30%
Wolverhampton Wanderers38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Wrexham 32%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 38%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Wrexham — No. 19, 14 pts; Wolverhampton Wanderers — No. 7, 24 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wrexham — Wolverhampton Wanderers What is xG?1.1–1.3
Wrexham not to lose62%
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose68%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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  • Wrexham goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatWrexhamWolverhampton Wanderers
Goals scored per match1.21.2
Goals conceded per match1.50.9
xG per match0.971.53
Opponents’ xG1.220.93
Shots11.815.0
On target2.93.7
Corners4.46.7
Cards1.22.4
Possession, %4951

Averages per match: Wrexham — the last 10, Wolverhampton Wanderers — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Wrexham

  • 30.10away · Sheffield United0:1
  • 24.10away · Blackburn Rovers0:2
  • 17.10Preston North End4:1
  • 13.10West Bromwich Albion1:2
  • 10.10away · Derby County1:1

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • 31.10Cardiff City3:0
  • 24.10Watford1:0
  • 20.10Portsmouth1:1
  • 16.10away · Burnley2:1
  • 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Promotion play-offsWest Bromwich Albion1474320–15+525
7, Promotion play-offsWolverhampton Wanderers1373323–16+724
8, Promotion play-offsWest Ham United1364333–18+1522
18Cardiff City1335519–20-114
19Wrexham1335515–19-414
20Watford1442813–23-1014

Season 2026/27

Full table

Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →