Wrexham — Wolverhampton Wanderers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Wrexham 32%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 38%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Wrexham — No. 19, 14 pts; Wolverhampton Wanderers — No. 7, 24 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wrexham — Wolverhampton Wanderers What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Wrexham not to lose | 62% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wrexham
- Wrexham goals
- Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Wrexham | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| xG per match | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.22 | 0.93 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 15.0 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 6.7 |
| Cards | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 51 |
Form
- 30.10away · Sheffield United0:1
- 24.10away · Blackburn Rovers0:2
- 17.10Preston North End4:1
- 13.10West Bromwich Albion1:2
- 10.10away · Derby County1:1
- 31.10Cardiff City3:0
- 24.10Watford1:0
- 20.10Portsmouth1:1
- 16.10away · Burnley2:1
- 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 13 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 13 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | -10 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →