EFL Championship, round 15 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Queens Park Rangers — Lincoln City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Queens Park Rangers are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Queens Park Rangers are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Queens Park Rangers are 151 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Queens Park Rangers — No. 11, 21 pts; Lincoln City — No. 17, 15 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers — Lincoln City What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 82% | |
| Lincoln City not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Queens Park Rangers
- Queens Park Rangers goals
- Lincoln City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Queens Park Rangers | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.49 | 1.05 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.10 | 1.62 |
| Shots | 14.0 | 10.4 |
| On target | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 38 |
Form
- 03.11Burnley1:1
- 31.10away · Southampton1:4
- 24.10Swansea City5:0
- 17.10away · Birmingham City0:3
- 14.10Derby County4:1
- 03.11away · Watford0:1
- 31.10Birmingham City1:3
- 24.10Burnley4:1
- 17.10away · Millwall2:2
- 14.10West Ham United0:6
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 14 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 16 | Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 13 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →