EFL Championship, round 15 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
West Bromwich Albion — Millwall
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
West Bromwich Albion are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings West Bromwich Albion are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- West Bromwich Albion are 123 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: West Bromwich Albion — No. 6, 25 pts; Millwall — No. 13, 18 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- West Bromwich Albion: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: West Bromwich Albion 0 wins, Millwall 1, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: West Bromwich Albion — Millwall What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| West Bromwich Albion not to lose | 75% | |
| Millwall not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- Millwall goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | West Bromwich Albion | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.49 | 1.62 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 13.8 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 55 | 47 |
Form
- 03.11Southampton1:1
- 31.10away · West Ham United3:1
- 24.10away · Preston North End1:1
- 17.10Blackburn Rovers3:2
- 13.10away · Wrexham2:1
- 03.11away · Birmingham City0:3
- 31.10Derby County4:1
- 24.10away · Portsmouth1:2
- 17.10Lincoln City2:2
- 13.10Swansea City0:1
Head to head
- 10.04.2026West Bromwich Albion — Millwall0:0
- 04.10.2025Millwall — West Bromwich Albion3:0
- 15.02.2025Millwall — West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 05.10.2024West Bromwich Albion — Millwall0:0
- 29.03.2024Millwall — West Bromwich Albion1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Swansea City | 14 | 8 | +5 | 26 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 14 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →