EFL Championship, round 16 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Charlton Athletic
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites: 68% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Wolverhampton Wanderers are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers are 248 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Wolverhampton Wanderers — No. 7, 24 pts; Charlton Athletic — No. 21, 14 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: unbeaten in 4; Charlton Athletic: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers — Charlton Athletic What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 89% | |
| Charlton Athletic not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
- Charlton Athletic goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.53 | 1.05 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.93 | 1.56 |
| Shots | 15.0 | 10.2 |
| On target | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 45 |
Form
- 31.10Cardiff City3:0
- 24.10Watford1:0
- 20.10Portsmouth1:1
- 16.10away · Burnley2:1
- 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3
- 03.11Bolton Wanderers0:1
- 31.10away · Middlesbrough0:3
- 24.10Norwich City1:3
- 17.10away · Watford0:2
- 13.10away · Burnley2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 13 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | -11 | 14 |
| 22, Relegation | Burnley | 14 | 1 | -8 | 10 |
Championship on the same day
- MillwallQueens Park Rangerspreliminary4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Norwich CityCardiff Citypreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- SouthamptonDerby Countypreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- Bolton WanderersPortsmouthpreliminary3328382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Lincoln CityWrexhampreliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- MiddlesbroughBristol Citypreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Sheffield UnitedWatfordpreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Stoke CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3330382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →