Serie A
Italy · season 2026/27 · 20 teams · 60 matches played
Matchday 7 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →
Serie A predictions
Friday, 16 October
- 323137XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.2
Saturday, 17 October
- 1221672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 1625592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 6524111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
Sunday, 18 October
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 2828432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Monday, 19 October
- 3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 293338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4631221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 303338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- 6125151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
- 5727151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- 5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 1024662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- 2129502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
Tuesday, 27 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 7021101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 2028522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
Wednesday, 28 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 313237XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- 612822The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 1627572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
- 1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
Thursday, 29 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 342937XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.8
Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 5727161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 1726572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 2328492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 273340XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
- 5127211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Monday, 2 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 6323131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 6 of 10, it expected 53%
Monday, 12 October
- 741881The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.3.3
- 373132XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.4
Sunday, 11 October
- 363133XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:0, exactly right.2.5
- 2131482The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:2, exactly right.2.3
- 6126131The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 2128512The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.3.0
- 1729542The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.4
Saturday, 10 October
- 3031392The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 811451The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.1
- 5825171The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
Sunday, 20 September
- FiorentinaNapoli———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- FrosinoneComo———2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
- ParmaGenoa———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- JuventusAtalanta———2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
- MilanLecce———3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—
Saturday, 19 September
- BolognaTorino———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- UdineseCagliari———0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—
- RomaInter———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
- VeneziaLazio———0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: —.—
Friday, 18 September
- MonzaSassuolo———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 3 more matches
Monday, 14 September
- ComoParma———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- TorinoRoma———0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: —.—
- InterUdinese———5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: —.—
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Inter | 6 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League | Lazio | 6 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 3, Champions League | Roma | 6 | 4 | +11 | 14 |
| 4, Champions League | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Milan | 6 | 3 | +6 | 12 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Juventus | 6 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Parma | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Venezia | 6 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 4 | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 4 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Roma | 3 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Lazio | 3 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Sassuolo | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Milan | 2 | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 8 | Napoli | 3 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Como | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Parma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Genoa | 4 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Torino | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Udinese | 3 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | -6 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 | Cagliari | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Roma | 3 | 2 | +6 | 7 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Milan | 4 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Inter | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Juventus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 3 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Monza | 4 | 0 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Parma | 3 | 0 | -6 | 0 |
- Champions League
- Europa League or Conference League
- Relegation
About the competition
- 2.9goals per match
- 47%home wins
- 20%draws
- 33%away wins
- 57%over 2.5 goals
- 60%both teams scored
53%
How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 1,200 Serie A matches since 19 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 51%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check