PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Primera Nacional, round 35 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena

Central Norte — Acassuso

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Central Norte47%
Draw32%
Acassuso20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Central Norte to win (47%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 47% fails in about 53 matches out of 100 on average.

Central Norte are clear favourites: 47% against 20% for the opponent, draw 32%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Central Norte are 109 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Central Norte: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Central Norte — Acassuso What is xG?1.2–0.7
Central Norte not to lose80%
Acassuso not to lose53%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

91 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Central Norte
  • Central Norte goals
  • Acassuso goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Match events

  1. 40′Matías Moravec · Central Norte
  2. 55′David Escalante · Acassuso
Substitutions (10)
  1. 46′David Escalante ↔ Ramiro Reynoso · Acassuso
  2. 61′Natán Acosta ↔ Joaquín Postigo · Acassuso
  3. 61′Lázaro Romero ↔ Román Etcheverri · Acassuso
  4. 65′Sergio Quiroga ↔ Matías Moravec · Central Norte
  5. 73′Agustín Aleo ↔ Gianluca Mancuso · Central Norte
  6. 73′Maximiliano Ribero ↔ Pedro Sanz · Central Norte
  7. 76′Manuel Mónaco ↔ Valentín Serrano · Acassuso
  8. 83′Joaquín Mateo ↔ Franco Vedoya · Central Norte
  9. 83′Érik Bodencer ↔ Tomás Castro · Central Norte
  10. 88′Fabricio Sena ↔ Alex Ruíz · Acassuso

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Central Norte

  1. GKJoaquín Hass
  2. DFElías Calderón
  3. DFPedro Sanz73′
  4. DFLeonardo Felissia
  5. DFPablo Mauricio Rosales
  6. MFMatías Moravec65′
  7. MFMatías Villarreal
  8. MFGianluca Mancuso73′
  9. MFFranco Vedoya83′
  10. FWTomás Castro83′
  11. FWFrancisco Borda
Came on (5)
  1. MFSergio Quiroga25′
  2. FWÉrik Bodencer7′
  3. DFAgustín Aleo17′
  4. MFJoaquín Mateo7′
  5. MFMaximiliano Ribero17′

Acassuso

  1. GKMariano Monllor
  2. DFJoel Ghiraldello
  3. DFSantiago Bellatti
  4. DFAlex Ruíz88′
  5. DFRomán Etcheverri61′
  6. DFValentín Serrano76′
  7. MFRamiro Reynoso46′
  8. MFKevin Daniel Dubini
  9. MFAgustín Hermoso
  10. MFJoaquín Postigo61′
  11. FWTomás Rodríguez
Came on (5)
  1. FWManuel Mónaco14′
  2. FWLázaro Romero29′
  3. FWDavid Escalante44′
  4. FWFabricio Sena2′
  5. MFNatán Acosta29′

Form

Central Norte

  • 18.10away · CA Chaco For Ever2:1
  • 11.10Ferro Carril Oeste1:1
  • 04.10Racing de Córdoba1:1
  • 27.09away · Deportivo Madryn0:0
  • 20.09CA Defensores de Belgrano0:1

Acassuso

  • 17.10Deportivo Madryn0:0
  • 11.10away · CA Defensores de Belgrano3:0
  • 03.10Ciudad de Bolívar0:1
  • 26.09away · Almirante Brown1:0
  • 19.09Club Atlético Mitre2:0

Head to head

  • 06.06.2026Acassuso — Central Norte2:1

Next matches

  • San TelmoCentral Norte31 October · Primera Nacional
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
  • AcassusoFerro Carril Oeste31 October · Primera Nacional
    XThe most likely outcome came true: XFinal score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0

Primera Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →