Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
AIK — Elfsborg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: AIK 34%, Elfsborg 38%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AIK — Elfsborg What is xG? | 1.5–1.6 | |
| AIK not to lose | 62% | |
| Elfsborg not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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Form
- 10.10Brommapojkarna5:6
- 20.09away · Halmstads BK1:2
- 16.09Mjällby1:1
- 12.09Västerås SK1:4
- 07.09away · Malmö FF0:0
- 12.10Halmstads BK4:0
- 20.09away · Djurgården2:1
- 13.09Kalmar FF1:0
- 06.09away · Brommapojkarna1:2
- 29.08Degerfors2:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Elfsborg — AIK1:1
- 02.11.2025Elfsborg — AIK0:3
- 27.04.2025AIK — Elfsborg2:0
- 27.10.2024AIK — Elfsborg2:1
- 15.05.2024Elfsborg — AIK6:1
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →