Eredivisie (Netherlands)

Netherlands · season 2026/27 · 18 teams · 72 matches played

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Eredivisie predictions

Friday, 16 October

21:00
SC HeerenveenExcelsior
522622
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1

Saturday, 17 October

17:30
ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
81577
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.8
21:00
TelstarFeyenoord
142363
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
22:00
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
622215
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3

Sunday, 18 October

13:15
PEC ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles
312841
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
15:30
CambuurAZ Alkmaar
182458
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
17:45
FC GroningenAjax
302941
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
21:00
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
622216
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
21:00
FC TwenteFC Utrecht
612316
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1

Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates

21:00
Go Ahead EaglesTelstar
482726
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

17:30
FC UtrechtPEC Zwolle
642214
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
19:45
Willem IICambuur
312941
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
22:00
ADO Den HaagSC Heerenveen
272845
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

14:15
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
372934
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.0
16:30
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
432729
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
16:30
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
472726
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
18:45
Sparta RotterdamAjax
232750
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.2
22:00
AZ AlkmaarFC Twente
422929
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9

Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates

18:30
FeyenoordFortuna Sittard
83115
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.7
20:45
SC HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
422830
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
20:45
PSV EindhovenWillem II
9262
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.6
23:00
AjaxAZ Alkmaar
442828
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
23:00
CambuurGo Ahead Eagles
342739
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:33.5

Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates

14:15
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
432928
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
16:30
TelstarFC Utrecht
332938
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
16:30
ExcelsiorFC Twente
202852
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
18:45
FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam
522622
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4

Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 3 of 9, it expected 54%

Sunday, 11 October

13:15
FC UtrechtWillem II
701911
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.3.5
15:30
TelstarADO Den Haag
472924
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
15:30
PEC ZwolleCambuur
392832
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.4
17:45
ExcelsiorFC Groningen
383032
XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 1:5. Model's score: 1:1.3.1

Saturday, 10 October

17:30
Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
522622
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 3:3. Model's score: 2:1.3.6
19:45
FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
562420
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.3
21:00
Fortuna SittardFC Twente
182755
2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.3.0
22:00
AjaxNEC Nijmegen
632116
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.8

Friday, 9 October

21:00
PSV EindhovenSC Heerenveen
77158
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 3:0.4.0

Sunday, 20 September

13:15
FeyenoordFC Utrecht
———
Final score 5:0. Model's score: —.—
15:30
AZ AlkmaarTelstar
———
Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
15:30
FC TwentePSV Eindhoven
———
Final score 3:2. Model's score: —.—
17:45
NEC NijmegenGo Ahead Eagles
———
Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

17:30
ADO Den HaagCambuur
———
Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
19:45
Sparta RotterdamSC Heerenveen
———
Final score 0:4. Model's score: —.—
21:00
AjaxExcelsior
———
Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
22:00
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
———
Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—

Friday, 18 September

21:00
FC GroningenPEC Zwolle
———
Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—

Tuesday, 15 September

21:00
AjaxWillem II
———
Final score 5:1. Model's score: —.—

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Champions League	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27–7	+20	20
2, Champions League qualifying	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	26–10	+16	19
3, Europa League or Conference League	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18–8	+10	19
4	FC Twente	8	5	2	1	16–8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22–10	+12	15
6	FC Groningen	8	4	2	2	20–14	+6	14
7	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14–15	-1	14
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19–17	+2	11
9	Excelsior	8	3	2	3	16–14	+2	11
10	SC Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11–11	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13–14	-1	9
12	Cambuur	8	2	2	4	11–19	-8	8
13	FC Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14–25	-11	8
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13–20	-7	6
15	Telstar	8	1	3	4	7–14	-7	6
16, Relegation play-off	PEC Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6–21	-15	4
17, Relegation	ADO Den Haag	8	0	3	5	9–19	-10	3
18, Relegation	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7–23	-16	2

Table «Home», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	FC Twente	4	4	0	0	9–3	+6	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	13–4	+9	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	9–3	+6	10
4	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	11–4	+7	8
5	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	2	0	11–6	+5	8
6	FC Groningen	4	2	1	1	9–6	+3	7
7	Ajax	5	1	3	1	11–9	+2	6
8	SC Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	3–5	-2	4
9	Fortuna Sittard	4	1	1	2	5–9	-4	4
10	FC Utrecht	4	1	1	2	8–14	-6	4
11	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	5–10	-5	3
12	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	6–13	-7	3
13	NEC Nijmegen	4	0	2	2	5–8	-3	2
14	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	5–10	-5	2
15	Telstar	4	0	2	2	5–11	-6	2
16	ADO Den Haag	3	0	1	2	4–8	-4	1
17	Willem II	4	0	1	3	3–10	-7	1
18	PEC Zwolle	4	0	0	4	1–13	-12	0

Table «Away», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	16–3	+13	12
2	Fortuna Sittard	4	3	1	0	9–6	+3	10
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	11–1	+10	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	13–6	+7	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	9–5	+4	9
6	Excelsior	4	2	2	0	11–4	+7	8
7	FC Groningen	4	2	1	1	11–8	+3	7
8	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	8–6	+2	7
9	SC Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	8–6	+2	5
10	FC Twente	4	1	2	1	7–5	+2	5
11	Cambuur	4	1	2	1	5–6	-1	5
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	2–3	-1	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	8–10	-2	4
14	PEC Zwolle	4	1	1	2	5–8	-3	4
15	FC Utrecht	4	1	1	2	6–11	-5	4
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	3	1	8–11	-3	3
17	ADO Den Haag	5	0	2	3	5–11	-6	2
18	Willem II	4	0	1	3	4–13	-9	1

Champions League
Champions League qualifying
Europa League or Conference League
Relegation play-off
Relegation

Season 2026/27 · zones by the regulations, the final allocation may depend on cup winners

About the competition

3.7goals per match
31%home wins
29%draws
40%away wins
72%over 2.5 goals
69%both teams scored

54%

How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 938 Eredivisie matches since 6 October 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 54%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check

Season leaders

Best attackFeyenoord27 goals in 8 matches
Best defenceFeyenoord7 conceded in 8 matches
Best formFeyenoord13 points in the last 5

Season 2026/27, regular-season matches played. 3.7 goals per match on average.