Bundesliga

Germany · season 2026/27 · 18 teams · 45 matches played

☆ Favourite

Matchday 6 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →

Matches
Results
Table
About

Bundesliga predictions

Friday, 16 October

21:30
Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln
522622
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4

Saturday, 17 October

16:30
ElversbergAugsburg
432829
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
16:30
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
202655
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
16:30
Schalke 04Mainz 05
233047
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
16:30
Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund
182359
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
16:30
Werder BremenPaderborn
492922
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
19:30
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
80137
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:14.3

Sunday, 18 October

16:30
Bayer LeverkusenFreiburg
642115
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
18:30
Borussia MönchengladbachHoffenheim
342838
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3

Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates

21:30
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
662113
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.7

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

16:30
AugsburgUnion Berlin
393230
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.9
16:30
1. FC KölnSchalke 04
492724
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
16:30
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
532621
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
16:30
PaderbornHamburger SV
343036
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
16:30
RB LeipzigElversberg
622216
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
19:30
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
692011
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

17:30
HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
242650
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
19:30
FreiburgBayern München
112069
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5

Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates

22:30
ElversbergMainz 05
303139
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2

Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates

17:30
AugsburgFreiburg
303040
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
17:30
Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
572420
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
17:30
Borussia MönchengladbachPaderborn
482824
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
17:30
Schalke 04RB Leipzig
162657
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
17:30
Werder BremenHoffenheim
352935
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
20:30
Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
75159
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:14.0

Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates

17:30
Union Berlin1. FC Köln
402930
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
19:30
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
602317
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3

Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 5 of 9, it expected 57%

Sunday, 11 October

16:30
1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach
442828
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.3
18:30
FreiburgSchalke 04
612415
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.3.0

Saturday, 10 October

16:30
Union BerlinElversberg
322741
2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:2.3.0
16:30
PaderbornVfB Stuttgart
162657
2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
16:30
Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
282844
2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 3:4. Model's score: 0:1.3.3
16:30
HoffenheimHamburger SV
622215
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:0.3.4
16:30
AugsburgBayern München
61580
2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:2.3.9
19:30
RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
552520
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 6:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.5

Friday, 9 October

21:30
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
73189
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:0.3.3

Sunday, 20 September

16:30
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
———
Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
18:30
Schalke 04Elversberg
———
Final score 0:0. Model's score: —.—
20:30
PaderbornHoffenheim
———
Final score 3:1. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

16:30
Borussia MönchengladbachMainz 05
———
Final score 3:4. Model's score: —.—
16:30
Eintracht FrankfurtFreiburg
———
Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
16:30
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
———
Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
16:30
Werder BremenAugsburg
———
Final score 3:2. Model's score: —.—
19:30
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
———
Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—

Friday, 18 September

21:30
Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
———
Final score 7:0. Model's score: —.—

Sunday, 13 September

16:30
RB LeipzigHamburger SV
———
Final score 5:0. Model's score: —.—
18:30
ElversbergBayern München
———
Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Champions League	Freiburg	5	4	1	0	14–4	+10	13
2, Champions League	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11–4	+7	13
3, Champions League	Bayern München	5	3	2	0	16–4	+12	11
4, Champions League	Bayer Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	14–8	+6	10
5, Europa League or Conference League	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	15–5	+10	9
6, Europa League or Conference League	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13–8	+5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10–10	0	8
8	Mainz 05	5	2	1	2	13–10	+3	7
9	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	8–8	0	7
10	1. FC Köln	5	2	1	2	8–10	-2	7
11	VfB Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	8–9	-1	6
12	Hamburger SV	5	2	0	3	5–15	-10	6
13	Schalke 04	5	1	2	2	4–6	-2	5
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	9–16	-7	5
15	Paderborn	5	1	1	3	3–7	-4	4
16, Relegation play-off	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	5–17	-12	4
17, Relegation	Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9–13	-4	3
18, Relegation	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5	0	0	5	7–18	-11	0

Table «Home», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	14–0	+14	9
2	Freiburg	3	3	0	0	11–2	+9	9
3	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	1	0	7–2	+5	7
4	1. FC Köln	3	2	1	0	6–4	+2	7
5	Bayern München	2	2	0	0	12–1	+11	6
6	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6–0	+6	6
7	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	6–3	+3	6
8	Augsburg	3	1	2	0	7–4	+3	5
9	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	5–6	-1	4
10	VfB Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	4–2	+2	3
11	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4–4	0	3
12	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6–7	-1	3
13	Paderborn	3	1	0	2	3–4	-1	3
14	Hamburger SV	2	1	0	1	2–6	-4	3
15	Schalke 04	2	0	2	0	0–0	0	2
16	Mainz 05	3	0	1	2	4–7	-3	1
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	3–6	-3	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	6–8	-2	0

Table «Away», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	Mainz 05	2	2	0	0	9–3	+6	6
2	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	4–2	+2	6
3	Bayern München	3	1	2	0	4–3	+1	5
4	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4
5	Bayer Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8–8	0	4
6	Elversberg	3	1	1	1	4–4	0	4
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	6–10	-4	4
8	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	6–4	+2	3
9	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	4–6	-2	3
10	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	4–7	-3	3
11	Hamburger SV	3	1	0	2	3–9	-6	3
12	Werder Bremen	3	0	2	1	4–7	-3	2
13	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0–3	-3	1
14	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	3–6	-3	0
15	1. FC Köln	2	0	0	2	2–6	-4	0
16	RB Leipzig	2	0	0	2	1–5	-4	0
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	1–10	-9	0
18	Union Berlin	2	0	0	2	0–11	-11	0

Champions League
Europa League or Conference League
Relegation play-off
Relegation

Season 2026/27 · zones by the regulations, the final allocation may depend on cup winners

About the competition

3.8goals per match
51%home wins
20%draws
29%away wins
78%over 2.5 goals
60%both teams scored

52%

How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 962 Bundesliga matches since 18 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 54%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check

Season leaders

Best attackBayern München16 goals in 5 matches
Best defenceFreiburg4 conceded in 5 matches
Best formFreiburg13 points in the last 5

Season 2026/27, regular-season matches played. 3.8 goals per match on average.