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Norwegian Eliteserien

Norway · season 2026 · 16 teams · 176 matches played

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Matchday 24 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →

Eliteserien predictions

Saturday, 17 October

Sunday, 18 October

  • Sarpsborg 08Rosenborg
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
  • VålerengaBrann
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
  • MoldeStart
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
  • SandefjordLillestrøm
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • TromsøKFUM
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • VikingTromsø
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
  • LillestrømBrann
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
  • KristiansundKFUM
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
  • Sarpsborg 08Aalesund
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.9
  • StartSandefjord
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
  • MoldeFredrikstad
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2

Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • Bodø/GlimtViking
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6

Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates

  • BrannMolde
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
  • KFUMHamarkameratene
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
  • Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
  • StartLillestrøm
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
  • VålerengaTromsø
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2

Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 4 of 8, it expected 51%

Monday, 12 October

  • KFUMVålerenga
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.9

Sunday, 11 October

  • FredrikstadTromsø
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.6
  • AalesundSarpsborg 08
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 2:4. Model's score: 0:1.3.6
  • StartHamarkameratene
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:4. Model's score: 2:0.3.1
  • LillestrømMolde
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.3.3

Saturday, 10 October

  • Bodø/GlimtKristiansund
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 4:0.4.1
  • RosenborgSandefjord
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.3

Friday, 9 October

  • BrannViking
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:3.3.6

Sunday, 20 September

  • VålerengaFredrikstad
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
  • TromsøHamarkameratene
    Final score 3:2. Model's score: —.—
  • SandefjordStart
    Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—
  • VikingLillestrøm
    Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—
  • BrannBodø/Glimt
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

  • KristiansundRosenborg
    Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—
  • MoldeAalesund
    Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—

Friday, 18 September

  • Sarpsborg 08KFUM
    Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—

Monday, 14 September

  • Bodø/GlimtSandefjord
    Final score 3:2. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 5 more matches

Sunday, 13 September

  • VikingKristiansund
    Final score 8:1. Model's score: —.—
  • StartBrann
    Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
  • HamarkamerateneMolde
    Final score 1:5. Model's score: —.—
  • KFUMAalesund
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • FredrikstadSarpsborg 08
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−PtsForm
1, Champions League qualifyingBodø/Glimt22172356–20+3653
2, Champions League qualifyingViking22172356–20+3653
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueTromsø22116541–30+1139
4, Europa League or Conference LeagueMolde22114746–34+1237
5Rosenborg22104840–31+934
6Lillestrøm22103930–31-133
7Brann22921139–34+529
8Fredrikstad2285926–33-729
9Sarpsborg 082277828–31-328
10KFUM22841027–36-928
11Hamarkameratene22751033–46-1326
12Sandefjord22661022–28-624
13Vålerenga22651135–45-1023
14, Relegation play-offAalesund2249935–50-1521
15, RelegationKristiansund22541322–43-2119
16, RelegationStart22441424–48-2416
  • Champions League qualifying
  • Europa League or Conference League
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation

Season 2026 · zones by the regulations, the final allocation may depend on cup winners

About the competition

  • 3.2goals per match
  • 50%home wins
  • 20%draws
  • 30%away wins
  • 62%over 2.5 goals
  • 60%both teams scored
55%

How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 895 Eliteserien matches since 10 April 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 52%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check

Season leaders

Season 2026, regular-season matches played. 3.2 goals per match on average.