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Liga MX (Mexico)

Mexico · season 2026 (Apertura) · 18 teams · 97 matches played

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Liga MX predictions

Saturday, 17 October

  • NecaxaAtlas
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • AtlantePumas
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • TijuanaPuebla
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9

Sunday, 18 October

Monday, 19 October

  • MonterreyPachuca
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

Wednesday, 21 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Thursday, 22 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • PueblaMonterrey
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
  • AtlasCF América
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
  • TolucaTijuana
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
  • PachucaCruz Azul
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
  • Santos LagunaPumas
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • LeónToluca
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
  • MonterreyChivas
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • PumasTigres
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7

Monday, 26 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Thursday, 29 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates

  • PachucaTigres
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
  • MonterreyTijuana
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
  • ChivasAtlante
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • CF AméricaToluca
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9

Monday, 2 Novemberpreliminary estimates

  • Santos LagunaNecaxa
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
  • Cruz AzulLeón
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1

Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 2 of 9, it expected 44%

Monday, 12 October

  • Atlético de San LuisSantos Laguna
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
  • PachucaNecaxa
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 3:3. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
  • PumasCruz Azul
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 3:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8

Sunday, 11 October

  • FC JuárezTijuana
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.1
  • Querétaro FCAtlante
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.3.1
  • AtlasChivas
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.7
  • CF AméricaMonterrey
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.0

Saturday, 10 October

  • PueblaLeón
    XThe most likely outcome came true: XFinal score 1:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.6
  • TigresToluca
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.8

Monday, 28 September

  • LeónFC Juárez
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • NecaxaCF América
    Final score 2:4. Model's score: —.—

Sunday, 27 September

  • Cruz AzulToluca
    Final score 3:3. Model's score: —.—
  • ChivasQuerétaro FC
    Final score 0:2. Model's score: —.—
  • Santos LagunaPachuca
    Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
  • TigresPuebla
    Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
  • PumasAtlético de San Luis
    Final score 2:3. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 26 September

  • AtlanteMonterrey
    Final score 4:2. Model's score: —.—
  • TijuanaAtlas
    Final score 2:3. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

  • PueblaAtlante
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
  • FC JuárezTigres
    Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 11 more matches

Sunday, 20 September

  • AtlasPumas
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
  • Atlético de San LuisNecaxa
    Final score 3:1. Model's score: —.—
  • MonterreyCruz Azul
    Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
  • CF AméricaChivas
    Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

  • PueblaAtlante
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
  • FC JuárezTigres
    Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—

Wednesday, 16 September

  • PueblaToluca
    Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—

Tuesday, 15 September

  • LeónAtlético de San Luis
    Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—

Monday, 14 September

  • Santos LagunaFC Juárez
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • ChivasPumas
    Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Apertura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−PtsForm
1, Liguilla (playoffs)CF América1063122–11+1121
2, Liguilla (playoffs)Toluca1162325–15+1020
3, Liguilla (playoffs)Querétaro FC1062215–8+720
4, Liguilla (playoffs)Chivas1154218–11+719
5, Liguilla (playoffs)León1153315–12+318
6, Liguilla (playoffs)Atlas1153317–18-118
7, Liguilla (playoffs)Cruz Azul1152422–21+117
8, Liguilla (playoffs)Tijuana1043315–14+115
9Puebla1143412–13-115
10Monterrey1042417–15+214
11Pachuca1134418–14+413
12Pumas1134417–19-213
13Tigres1134413–15-213
14Santos Laguna1141612–16-413
15Atlético de San Luis1133515–20-512
16Atlante1125412–17-511
17Necaxa1123615–23-89
18FC Juárez111198–26-184
  • Liguilla (playoffs)

Season 2026 (Apertura) · zones by the regulations, the final allocation may depend on cup winners

About the competition

  • 3.0goals per match
  • 39%home wins
  • 27%draws
  • 34%away wins
  • 53%over 2.5 goals
  • 61%both teams scored
51%

How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 1,038 Liga MX matches since 16 September 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 49%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check

Season leaders

Season 2026 (Apertura), regular-season matches played. 3.0 goals per match on average.