EFL Championship
England · season 2026/27 · 24 teams · 115 matches played
Matchday 10 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →
Championship predictions
Wednesday, 14 October
- 3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
Friday, 16 October
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
Saturday, 17 October
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 4729251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
- 3628362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
Tuesday, 20 October
- 5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 2327502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 4029321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.8
- 6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 5228201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5325221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
- 5923191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
Tuesday, 3 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 5027221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- 372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 10 of 20, it expected 47%
Tuesday, 13 October
- 4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 6322151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.0
- 4927241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4728261The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 4130301The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 2128512The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 6024161The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
Sunday, 11 October
- 6023161The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.3.0
Saturday, 10 October
- 383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.3
- 4329281The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 353134XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
- 343036XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 1:1.2.4
- 4230291The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 3129402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.8
- 4627271The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.9
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 4728251The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
Friday, 9 October
- 6222171The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.5
Earlier results: 14 more matches
Sunday, 20 September
- Wolverhampton WanderersWest Bromwich Albion———1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
- Norwich CityBolton Wanderers———3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: —.—
Saturday, 19 September
- Cardiff CityCharlton Athletic———3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: —.—
- MillwallWest Ham United———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
- Stoke CitySheffield United———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
- BurnleyDerby County———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- Lincoln CitySwansea City———1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—
- PortsmouthBlackburn Rovers———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
- Queens Park RangersPreston North End———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
- WrexhamSouthampton———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
Friday, 18 September
- Bristol CityWatford———1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
Tuesday, 15 September
- Bristol CityLincoln City———0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—
- MiddlesbroughMillwall———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Swansea City | 10 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Southampton | 9 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 9 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | -4 | 8 |
| 22, Relegation | Watford | 10 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 23, Relegation | Derby County | 9 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 24, Relegation | Preston North End | 10 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 5 | 5 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Swansea City | 5 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | West Ham United | 5 | 3 | +10 | 10 |
| 5 | Cardiff City | 5 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 5 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 | Blackburn Rovers | 5 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Charlton Athletic | 5 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Birmingham City | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 11 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 13 | Sheffield United | 5 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 14 | Watford | 5 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Norwich City | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 5 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Queens Park Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 20 | Burnley | 5 | 0 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 22 | Preston North End | 5 | 1 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 | Lincoln City | 4 | 0 | -3 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby County | 5 | 0 | -5 | 2 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City | 5 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Birmingham City | 5 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 | Queens Park Rangers | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Lincoln City | 5 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Stoke City | 5 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | West Ham United | 4 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Charlton Athletic | 5 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Burnley | 5 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Norwich City | 5 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 21 | Southampton | 4 | 0 | -2 | 2 |
| 22 | Cardiff City | 5 | 0 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Preston North End | 5 | 0 | -7 | 1 |
| 24 | Watford | 5 | 0 | -8 | 1 |
- Promotion
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
About the competition
- 2.9goals per match
- 40%home wins
- 29%draws
- 31%away wins
- 63%over 2.5 goals
- 66%both teams scored
46%
How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 1,776 Championship matches since 4 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 48%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check
Season leaders
- Best attackWest Ham United23 goals in 9 matches
- Best defenceSwansea City7 conceded in 10 matches
- Best formSwansea City12 points in the last 5