Brazilian Serie A
Brazil · season 2026 · 20 teams · 299 matches played
Matchday 31 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →
Brasileirao predictions
Saturday, 17 October
- 4229281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
Sunday, 18 October
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
Monday, 19 October
- 3329392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 333038XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
Tuesday, 20 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4629261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 342937XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 6422131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 2126532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
Tuesday, 27 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4328281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Thursday, 29 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- 7118101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 333036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4329291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 2728452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- 3428372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4827241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 14 of 22, it expected 52%
Tuesday, 13 October
- 2327502The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 4228301The most likely outcome came true: 14:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.6
Monday, 12 October
- 5326211The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 3029412The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
Sunday, 11 October
- 6222161The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
- 5028221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.2.7
- 373034XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.7
- 6324121The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.3
- 6720121The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
Friday, 9 October
- 2628462The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 5027231The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 5526191The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.7
- 751691The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.3.0
Thursday, 8 October
- 4827251The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
- 5226221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
- 4628261The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
- 5526191The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 5126231The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
- 5227211The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
Earlier results: 19 more matches
Sunday, 4 October
- 4928231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.4
Saturday, 3 October
- 4728261The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
Monday, 21 September
- FlamengoRB Bragantino———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- Athletico ParanaenseBahia———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
Sunday, 20 September
- RemoSantos———1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—
- Vasco da GamaCoritiba———5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: —.—
- São PauloInternacional———1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
- GrêmioPalmeiras———0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: —.—
- CorinthiansFluminense———1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—
- VitóriaCruzeiro———1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—
Saturday, 19 September
- Atlético-MGChapecoense———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- MirassolBotafogo———2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
Thursday, 17 September
- BotafogoGrêmio———3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: —.—
Tuesday, 15 September
- BahiaRemo———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
Sunday, 13 September
- PalmeirasSão Paulo———2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
- BotafogoRB Bragantino———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- SantosCruzeiro———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- MirassolVitória———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
- FlamengoCorinthians———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Copa Libertadores | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | +33 | 64 |
| 2, Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | +30 | 63 |
| 3, Copa Libertadores | Athletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | +14 | 53 |
| 4, Copa Libertadores | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | +11 | 51 |
| 5, Copa Libertadores | Bahia | 30 | 13 | +8 | 49 |
| 6, Copa Sudamericana | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | +2 | 48 |
| 7, Copa Sudamericana | Atlético-MG | 30 | 13 | +6 | 47 |
| 8, Copa Sudamericana | Santos | 30 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
| 9, Copa Sudamericana | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | +3 | 40 |
| 10, Copa Sudamericana | São Paulo | 30 | 11 | 0 | 39 |
| 11, Copa Sudamericana | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Vitória | 30 | 10 | -11 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 29 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | -5 | 32 |
| 17, Relegation | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 18, Relegation | Grêmio | 30 | 7 | -8 | 31 |
| 19, Relegation | Remo | 30 | 5 | -15 | 25 |
| 20, Relegation | Chapecoense | 29 | 3 | -31 | 18 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 15 | 11 | +19 | 36 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 15 | 11 | +18 | 36 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 15 | 11 | +14 | 36 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 15 | 9 | +14 | 32 |
| 5 | Atlético-MG | 15 | 9 | +9 | 32 |
| 6 | Vitória | 15 | 10 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 | São Paulo | 15 | 9 | +11 | 30 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 8 | +10 | 28 |
| 9 | Bahia | 15 | 7 | +9 | 27 |
| 10 | Grêmio | 15 | 7 | +6 | 26 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 15 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 15 | 7 | +3 | 24 |
| 13 | Santos | 15 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 15 | 5 | +3 | 21 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 15 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 18 | Internacional | 15 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 19 | Remo | 15 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 14 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 15 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 15 | 7 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Bahia | 15 | 6 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 15 | 6 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 6 | -8 | 20 |
| 6 | Santos | 15 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 15 | 5 | -10 | 19 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 15 | 4 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 15 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Atlético-MG | 15 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Internacional | 15 | 3 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 15 | 4 | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 15 | 3 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 2 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 15 | 2 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Remo | 15 | 2 | -14 | 10 |
| 17 | São Paulo | 15 | 2 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 | Chapecoense | 15 | 1 | -17 | 7 |
| 19 | Grêmio | 15 | 0 | -14 | 5 |
| 20 | Vitória | 15 | 0 | -21 | 5 |
- Copa Libertadores
- Copa Sudamericana
- Relegation
About the competition
- 2.7goals per match
- 47%home wins
- 28%draws
- 24%away wins
- 52%over 2.5 goals
- 60%both teams scored
50%
How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 1,438 Brasileirao matches since 15 April 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 49%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check