La Liga
Spain · season 2026/27 · 20 teams · 78 matches played
Matchday 9 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →
La Liga predictions
Friday, 16 October
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Saturday, 17 October
- 2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 7218101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- 1825562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 383131XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
Sunday, 18 October
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
Monday, 19 October
- 353233XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
Wednesday, 21 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 353034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.7
Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 6324131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 5725171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- 3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- 751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
Monday, 26 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4530251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- 4430261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 722091The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.5
Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 1318682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.9
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- 5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
Monday, 2 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 6 of 9, it expected 50%
Monday, 12 October
- 4528271The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
Sunday, 11 October
- 333037XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- 5627171The most likely outcome came true: 15:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 3929321The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.0
Saturday, 10 October
- 3428382The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
- 841241The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 6720131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:0.3.5
Friday, 9 October
- 3130392The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.3
Sunday, 20 September
- GetafeMálaga———1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
- Atlético MadridReal Madrid———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- Deportivo A CoruñaReal Betis———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- VillarrealLevante———3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: —.—
- ValenciaReal Sociedad———2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: —.—
Saturday, 19 September
- OsasunaRayo Vallecano———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- Athletic ClubDeportivo Alavés———0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: —.—
- Celta VigoRacing Santander———5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: —.—
- SevillaBarcelona———1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—
Friday, 18 September
- EspanyolElche———1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—
Monday, 14 September
- VillarrealReal Betis———1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 12 more matches
Wednesday, 16 September
- Atlético MadridOsasuna———4:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: —.—
- Deportivo A CoruñaSevilla———0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—
- BarcelonaRacing Santander———7:2Final score 7:2. Model's score: —.—
Tuesday, 15 September
- Rayo VallecanoEspanyol———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- Deportivo AlavésValencia———0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—
- ElcheReal Madrid———2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: —.—
Monday, 14 September
- VillarrealReal Betis———1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—
Sunday, 13 September
- Celta VigoMálaga———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- LevanteBarcelona———2:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: —.—
- GetafeDeportivo A Coruña———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- Real SociedadAtlético Madrid———0:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: —.—
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Elche | 8 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
| 19, Relegation | Valencia | 8 | 1 | -9 | 5 |
| 20, Relegation | Málaga | 8 | 0 | -9 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | +13 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 4 | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | +7 | 10 |
| 5 | Deportivo Alavés | 5 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 | Racing Santander | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Getafe | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 4 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña | 4 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 4 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 | Levante | 3 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Málaga | 4 | 0 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | 0 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Valencia | 4 | 0 | -7 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | +14 | 12 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Sevilla | 4 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Elche | 4 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Deportivo A Coruña | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Valencia | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 4 | 1 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Levante | 4 | 0 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 0 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Málaga | 4 | 0 | -7 | 1 |
| 19 | Getafe | 4 | 0 | -8 | 0 |
| 20 | Racing Santander | 4 | 0 | -12 | 0 |
- Champions League
- Europa League or Conference League
- Relegation
About the competition
- 3.1goals per match
- 45%home wins
- 27%draws
- 28%away wins
- 58%over 2.5 goals
- 59%both teams scored
54%
How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 1,218 La Liga matches since 11 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 52%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check
Season leaders
- Best attackBarcelona34 goals in 8 matches
- Best defenceCelta Vigo6 conceded in 8 matches
- Best formBarcelona15 points in the last 5