Brazilian Serie B, round 35 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Ceará — Goiás
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ceará are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ceará are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ceará — Goiás What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Ceará not to lose | 72% | |
| Goiás not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ceará
- Ceará goals
- Goiás goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Botafogo SP0:1
- 09.10Criciúma1:0
- 03.10away · Avaí1:0
- 26.09away · Operário-PR2:2
- 19.09Novorizontino2:1
- 12.10away · Operário-PR2:0
- 07.10Athletic Club MG2:1
- 02.10away · Novorizontino0:3
- 27.09Atlético-GO0:1
- 20.09Avaí2:1
Head to head
- 05.07.2026Goiás — Ceará2:0
- 13.08.2024Goiás — Ceará2:1
- 21.04.2024Ceará — Goiás1:1
- 06.10.2022Ceará — Goiás1:1
- 12.06.2022Goiás — Ceará1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Operário-PR | 33 | 13 | -1 | 48 |
| 10 | Goiás | 33 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiabá | 33 | 11 | +6 | 47 |
| 14 | Náutico | 33 | 11 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →