Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Chaves — CF Marialvas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Chaves are clear favourites: 60% against 18% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chaves are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chaves — CF Marialvas What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Chaves not to lose | 82% | |
| CF Marialvas not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Chaves
- Chaves goals
- CF Marialvas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Guarda FC3:2
- 17.10Benfica0:2
- 20.09away · Paredes2:0
- 23.11away · Casa Pia AC0:3
- 20.10Lusitânia Lourosa2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →