Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
CSD Macará — Independiente del Valle
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Independiente del Valle are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Independiente del Valle are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSD Macará — Independiente del Valle What is xG? | 1.3–1.7 | |
| CSD Macará not to lose | 53% | |
| Independiente del Valle not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap CSD Macará
- CSD Macará goals
- Independiente del Valle goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:0
- 19.09away · Aucas2:1
- 13.09Emelec1:0
- 06.09away · Independiente del Valle1:3
- 02.09Manta4:3
- 10.10Aucas2:1
- 18.09away · Flamengo1:1
- 14.09away · Libertad (ECU)3:2
- 11.09Flamengo0:2
- 06.09CSD Macará3:1
Head to head
- 06.09.2026Independiente del Valle — CSD Macará3:1
- 16.05.2026CSD Macará — Independiente del Valle0:3
- 12.07.2025CSD Macará — Independiente del Valle1:2
- 16.03.2025Independiente del Valle — CSD Macará1:1
- 24.11.2024Independiente del Valle — CSD Macará7:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →