Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Degerfors — Kalmar FF

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Model prediction for 19 October

Degerfors34%
Draw31%
Kalmar FF35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Degerfors 34%, Kalmar FF 35%, draw 31%.

The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kalmar FF are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Degerfors — Kalmar FF What is xG?1.1–1.1
Degerfors not to lose65%
Kalmar FF not to lose66%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Degerfors
  • Degerfors goals
  • Kalmar FF goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Degerfors

  • 10.10away · Mjällby1:1
  • 20.09Hammarby0:1
  • 14.09away · Sirius0:2
  • 05.09Halmstads BK2:0
  • 29.08away · Elfsborg0:2

Kalmar FF

  • 12.10away · Malmö FF0:1
  • 20.09Häcken0:5
  • 13.09away · Elfsborg0:1
  • 07.09Djurgården0:1
  • 29.08away · Halmstads BK0:1

Head to head

  • 23.05.2026Kalmar FF — Degerfors2:1
  • 21.10.2023Degerfors — Kalmar FF1:3
  • 10.06.2023Kalmar FF — Degerfors2:1
  • 30.07.2022Degerfors — Kalmar FF2:1
  • 17.04.2022Kalmar FF — Degerfors2:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Mjällby23581028–39-1123
13Degerfors23551320–35-1520
14, Relegation play-offKalmar FF23541421–37-1619
15, RelegationÖrgryte23361425–52-2715

Season 2026

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →