Russian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Togliatti
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Dynamo Makhachkala are clear favourites: 47% against 22% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dynamo Makhachkala are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Togliatti What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala not to lose | 78% | |
| Akron Togliatti not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala goals
- Akron Togliatti goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · FC Orenburg0:4
- 17.09CSKA Moscow1:3
- 13.09away · FK Akhmat2:3
- 06.09Rodina2:0
- 02.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 13.10away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 09.10away · FC Rostov0:1
- 17.09FK Akhmat2:0
- 13.09away · FC Krasnodar1:1
- 06.09away · FC Orenburg2:2
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Akron Togliatti — Dynamo Makhachkala1:1
- 08.08.2025Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Togliatti1:1
- 02.05.2025Akron Togliatti — Dynamo Makhachkala1:0
- 26.10.2024Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Togliatti1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | -8 | 8 |
| 15, Relegation | Rodina | 10 | 1 | -15 | 5 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 5230181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 2631432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →