French Ligue 2, round 9 · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Rodez — Montpellier

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Model prediction for 19 October

Rodez35%
Draw29%
Montpellier36%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Rodez 35%, Montpellier 36%, draw 29%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rodez — Montpellier What is xG?1.3–1.4
Rodez not to lose64%
Montpellier not to lose65%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Rodez
  • Rodez goals
  • Montpellier goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Rodez

  • 10.10away · Saint-Étienne0:2
  • 18.09Nancy3:4
  • 11.09Grenoble0:1
  • 05.09away · Metz1:4
  • 28.08Pau2:2

Montpellier

  • 09.10Grenoble2:0
  • 18.09away · Reims1:1
  • 11.09Pau1:0
  • 05.09away · Saint-Étienne1:3
  • 28.08Boulogne0:0

Head to head

  • 20.02.2026Rodez — Montpellier1:0
  • 31.10.2025Montpellier — Rodez2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, PromotionRed Star852112–9+317
3, Promotion play-offsMontpellier84318–5+315
4, Promotion play-offsReims835015–9+614
14Grenoble82248–13-58
15Rodez821514–18-47
16, Relegation play-offBoulogne80624–6-26

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →