Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Campo Chã das Padeiras
Santarém — Gil Vicente
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Gil Vicente are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gil Vicente are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santarém — Gil Vicente What is xG? | 0.8–2.4 | |
| Santarém not to lose | 27% | |
| Gil Vicente not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Santarém
- Santarém goals
- Gil Vicente goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Moreirense1:0
- 19.09Marítimo1:1
- 13.09away · Benfica1:3
- 06.09Académico Viseu0:1
- 30.08away · Famalicão0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →