Swiss Super League, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

St. Gallen — Servette

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Model prediction for 31 October

St. Gallen44%
Draw27%
Servette29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

St. Gallen are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings St. Gallen are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Gallen — Servette What is xG?1.7–1.4
St. Gallen not to lose71%
Servette not to lose56%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap St. Gallen
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Form

St. Gallen

  • 11.10Lausanne1:0
  • 20.09away · Basel3:1
  • 16.09away · Lugano1:4
  • 12.09Sion0:3
  • 06.09away · Servette2:0

Servette

  • 10.10Sion3:0
  • 19.09away · Young Boys2:3
  • 16.09away · Thun4:2
  • 13.09away · Lausanne1:0
  • 06.09St. Gallen0:2

Head to head

  • 06.09.2026Servette — St. Gallen0:2
  • 21.02.2026Servette — St. Gallen1:1
  • 25.01.2026St. Gallen — Servette2:4
  • 02.08.2025Servette — St. Gallen1:4
  • 06.04.2025St. Gallen — Servette1:0

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Championship roundSion1061323–17+619
4, Championship roundSt. Gallen1051417–19-216
5, Championship roundFC Zürich1042418–22-414
6, Championship roundServette1041514–13+113
7, Relegation roundBasel1041517–20-313

Season 2026/27

Full table

Swiss Super League on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:33.9
  • LuzernSionpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →