Scottish Premiership, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen — St. Johnstone
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Aberdeen to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.
Aberdeen are slightly stronger: 46% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Aberdeen are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aberdeen — St. Johnstone What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Aberdeen not to lose | 74% | |
| St. Johnstone not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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- Handicap Aberdeen
- Aberdeen goals
- St. Johnstone goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 19.09away · Hibernian1:1
- 15.09away · Motherwell4:0
- 05.09Kilmarnock0:0
- 02.09away · Celtic0:3
- 30.08Rangers0:1
- 19.09Falkirk1:1
- 09.09Celtic0:1
- 06.09Hibernian2:1
- 02.09away · Dundee FC1:1
- 29.08away · Heart of Midlothian1:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2025St. Johnstone — Aberdeen0:0
- 07.12.2024Aberdeen — St. Johnstone1:1
- 05.08.2024St. Johnstone — Aberdeen1:2
- 04.05.2024Aberdeen — St. Johnstone1:0
- 28.02.2024Aberdeen — St. Johnstone0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Dundee FC | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 8, Relegation round | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Next matches
- AberdeenSt. Mirren17 October · Scottish Premiership4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- St. JohnstoneDundee United17 October · Scottish Premiership3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 1825572The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →