UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
AGF — Egnatia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
AGF are clear favourites: 60% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AGF are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AGF — Egnatia What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| AGF not to lose | 82% | |
| Egnatia not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AGF
- AGF goals
- Egnatia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Sønderjyske3:0
- 20.09away · AC Horsens2:2
- 13.09away · Nordsjælland0:2
- 05.09Silkeborg2:2
- 02.09FC Midtjylland0:2
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Københavnpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GetafeLuganopreliminary3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- JablonecBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- NordsjællandCSKA Sofiapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →