Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Baranovici — Naftan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Baranovici are clear favourites: 49% against 27% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Baranovici are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranovici — Naftan What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Baranovici not to lose | 73% | |
| Naftan not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Baranovici
- Baranovici goals
- Naftan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Neman0:3
- 20.09FC Gomel0:2
- 12.09away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 06.09Dnepr Mogilev2:1
- 29.08away · Din. Minsk1:0
- 10.10Belshina4:1
- 19.09away · Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 13.09away · BATE2:2
- 06.09FC Minsk0:3
- 02.09away · Din. Minsk1:5
Head to head
- 19.06.2026Naftan — Baranovici1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
| 16, Relegation | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | -17 | 16 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- Arsenal DzerzhinskBATEpreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- Din. MinskNemanpreliminary5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Dnepr MogilevFC Gomelpreliminary2327502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Dynamo BrestVitebskpreliminary5224241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- IslochSlavia Mozyrpreliminary5723191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- ML VitebskFC Minskpreliminary6919111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- ZhodinoBelshinapreliminary6320171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →