Belarusian Premier League · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Belshina — Din. Minsk

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Model prediction for 28 October

Belshina13%
Draw23%
Din. Minsk64%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Din. Minsk are clear favourites: 64% against 13% for the opponent, draw 23%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Belshina — Din. Minsk What is xG?0.8–2.0
Belshina not to lose36%
Din. Minsk not to lose87%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Belshina
  • Belshina goals
  • Din. Minsk goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Belshina

  • 10.10away · Naftan1:4
  • 18.09FC Minsk2:0
  • 12.09away · Vitebsk1:1
  • 06.09Neman2:2
  • 02.09away · ML Vitebsk1:1

Din. Minsk

  • 11.10away · Dnepr Mogilev3:2
  • 19.09BATE2:0
  • 13.09Dynamo Brest0:1
  • 06.09away · ML Vitebsk0:0
  • 02.09Naftan5:1

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Din. Minsk — Belshina2:0
  • 26.11.2023Belshina — Din. Minsk0:4
  • 01.07.2023Din. Minsk — Belshina7:2
  • 27.08.2022Belshina — Din. Minsk0:0
  • 16.04.2022Din. Minsk — Belshina0:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingML Vitebsk22138147–18+2947
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk22144440–18+2246
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch23137337–18+1946
13BATE23491018–28-1021
14, Relegation play-offBelshina23561223–40-1721
15, RelegationNaftan24451524–55-3117

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • IslochML Vitebskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →