Serie B, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Cesena — Avellino
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Cesena are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cesena are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cesena — Avellino What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Cesena not to lose | 76% | |
| Avellino not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cesena
- Cesena goals
- Avellino goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Benevento0:2
- 18.09away · Juve Stabia1:1
- 12.09Cremonese2:2
- 06.09Mantova1:1
- 29.08away · Virtus Entella2:1
- 09.10Sampdoria4:1
- 19.09away · Ascoli1:3
- 13.09Palermo1:1
- 06.09away · Modena1:0
- 29.08LR Vicenza3:0
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Avellino — Cesena3:1
- 09.11.2025Cesena — Avellino3:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- 4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →