Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Cruz Azul — León
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cruz Azul are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cruz Azul are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cruz Azul — León What is xG? | 2.1–1.0 | |
| Cruz Azul not to lose | 86% | |
| León not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul goals
- León goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Pumas3:3
- 27.09Toluca3:3
- 20.09away · Monterrey0:1
- 13.09CF América4:3
- 07.09Santos Laguna1:0
- 10.10away · Puebla1:1
- 28.09FC Juárez2:1
- 21.09away · Querétaro FC1:1
- 15.09Atlético de San Luis2:0
- 11.09away · Pumas1:3
Head to head
- 11.01.2026León — Cruz Azul2:1
- 27.07.2025Cruz Azul — León4:1
- 12.05.2025Cruz Azul — León2:1
- 09.05.2025León — Cruz Azul2:3
- 16.04.2025Cruz Azul — León2:1
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- Santos LagunaNecaxapreliminary4028331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →