Ukrainian Premier League, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Dynamo Kyiv — Kudrivka

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Model prediction for 23 October

Dynamo Kyiv84%
Draw11%
Kudrivka5%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dynamo Kyiv are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Dynamo Kyiv are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Kyiv — Kudrivka What is xG?3.0–0.8
Dynamo Kyiv not to lose95%
Kudrivka not to lose16%
No draw89%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.573%
Total under 2.527%

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  • Handicap Dynamo Kyiv
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Form

Dynamo Kyiv

  • 11.10Karpaty1:0
  • 19.09away · Zorya2:0
  • 14.09Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:0
  • 06.09LNZ Cherkasy0:0
  • 31.08away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:3

Kudrivka

  • 11.10away · LNZ Cherkasy1:2
  • 03.10away · Veres Rivne1:2
  • 20.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:3
  • 04.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr1:5
  • 29.08Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:3

Head to head

  • 24.05.2026Dynamo Kyiv — Kudrivka3:2
  • 06.12.2025Kudrivka — Dynamo Kyiv1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Europa League or Conference LeaguePolissya Zhytomyr861117–7+1019
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDynamo Kyiv751110–5+516
4FC Kharkiv750214–5+915
15, RelegationObolon Kyiv70432–12-104
16, RelegationKudrivka80266–20-142

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →