Danish Superliga, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FC København — AGF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FC København are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC København are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC København — AGF What is xG? | 1.9–1.2 | |
| FC København not to lose | 78% | |
| AGF not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC København
- FC København goals
- AGF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Midtjylland1:2
- 20.09away · Brøndby IF1:0
- 11.09AC Horsens2:0
- 06.09away · OB5:0
- 03.09Nordsjælland2:0
- 12.10Sønderjyske3:0
- 20.09away · AC Horsens2:2
- 13.09away · Nordsjælland0:2
- 05.09Silkeborg2:2
- 02.09FC Midtjylland0:2
Head to head
- 30.11.2025AGF — FC København2:0
- 08.08.2025FC København — AGF2:3
- 27.04.2025AGF — FC København1:3
- 21.04.2025FC København — AGF3:1
- 10.11.2024AGF — FC København1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC København | 10 | 8 | +14 | 24 |
| 2, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 9, Relegation round | OB | 10 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
| 10, Relegation round | AGF | 10 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 11, Relegation round | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | -9 | 7 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- 4328301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 2527492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →