Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie
Gimnasia Mendoza — Newell's Old Boys
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Gimnasia Mendoza to win (42%), came true.
Gimnasia Mendoza are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gimnasia Mendoza — Newell's Old Boys What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Gimnasia Mendoza not to lose | 73% | |
| Newell's Old Boys not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gimnasia Mendoza
- Gimnasia Mendoza goals
- Newell's Old Boys goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 06.10away · Estudiantes0:3
- 19.09Deportivo Riestra0:0
- 12.09away · Defensa y Justicia0:2
- 05.09Boca Juniors2:2
- 31.08away · Independiente3:0
- 03.10Lanús0:0
- 20.09away · Club Atlético Platense1:0
- 11.09Vélez Sarsfield1:1
- 06.09away · Rosario Central1:1
- 01.09away · Estudiantes0:0
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Newell's Old Boys — Gimnasia Mendoza1:0
Next matches
- Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza18 October · Liga Profesional5427201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Newell's Old BoysCentral Córdoba de Santiago20 October · Liga Profesional · preliminary5129211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →