Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Go Ahead Eagles — Telstar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Go Ahead Eagles are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Go Ahead Eagles are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles — Telstar What is xG? | 2.1–1.6 | |
| Go Ahead Eagles not to lose | 74% | |
| Telstar not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles goals
- Telstar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Sparta Rotterdam3:3
- 20.09away · NEC Nijmegen1:1
- 12.09FC Groningen1:1
- 08.09away · FC Utrecht3:3
- 29.08away · AZ Alkmaar2:5
- 11.10ADO Den Haag2:2
- 20.09away · AZ Alkmaar0:1
- 13.09away · SC Heerenveen0:0
- 09.09away · FC Twente0:1
- 06.09Cambuur2:2
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Go Ahead Eagles — Telstar1:1
- 28.09.2025Telstar — Go Ahead Eagles4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | -15 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →