Brazilian Serie B, round 35 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Juventude — Náutico
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Juventude are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventude are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Juventude — Náutico What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| Juventude not to lose | 84% | |
| Náutico not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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- Handicap Juventude
- Juventude goals
- Náutico goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10São Bernardo2:2
- 07.10away · Ponte Preta2:0
- 03.10Operário-PR3:0
- 29.09away · América-MG1:0
- 19.09away · Sport Recife1:2
- 11.10Vila Nova0:2
- 09.10Novorizontino0:2
- 03.10away · Fortaleza1:1
- 26.09Sport Recife3:1
- 22.09away · Cuiabá0:3
Head to head
- 06.07.2026Náutico — Juventude0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | +31 | 60 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 32 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 14 | Náutico | 33 | 11 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- América-MGCuiabápreliminary2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →